Political Predictions 2016

[Jac3510]

On a serious note, I do hope you can see the theory I'm working with and have been from day one. I don't care if the prediction is consistent. I care if the method of making it is. If the facts change, that has to effect the expected outcome. It's not like an endorsement.

If you want a prediction that isn't based on data, that's just an actual prediction, then I'll go back to my original and say "Trump," not because I think he'll actually win but because that is what I originally said. The data doesn't support that, but his chances are A LOT better than they were twenty-four hours ago. The October surprise has clearly gone his way. Enough to with him the Oval Office? I don't know. Not enough data. But enough to absolutely put him back in the running? Yes, big time. Easily so.

Then Trump it is. How can you be considered as having the gift of prophecy, if you don't stick to your original prediction?

Trump will win. I'm confident in your prophetic ability.

I'm more interested in the analysis.

[DBowling]

Here is an analysis of what national and state polls tell us about the Presidential election that is now 10 days away
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... -forecast/

In the middle of the the article there is an excellent diagram that does a good job of visually laying out the Electoral vote situation.
The winding path to 270 electoral votes.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... stateorder
Based on this diagram the five key states around the pivot point are:
Pennsylvania
Colorado
Nevada
Florida
North Carolina

In order to win, Trump needs to pull out a win in 4 of those 5 states

Obviously this polling does not include any feedback from Comey's gift to Trump yesterday, so we do not know how much that will tighten the race up.

[Kurieuo]

I"ll still stand by my original prediction that Trump will win, while I think such would be quite an accomplishment given all the mainstream gang up, not to mention rugs being pull out by Republicans, current rigging of machines and the like going on, etc...

[Philip]

It's gonna be close, no doubt. Perhaps, Trump by a Weiner???!!!

[RickD]

It's gonna be close, no doubt. Perhaps, Trump by a Weiner???!!!

[abelcainsbrother]

Trump is gonna win in a landslide like Reagan,don't ya know? All you've got to do is believe the opposite of what the mainstream media has been saying. Conservatives should know this already.

[Jac3510]

As I said, there's no way the email scandal getting reopoened is not huge:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/ ... f_fbi.html

People who don't see that and base their analysis squarely upon that are not offering analyses but are apologies.

[Philip]

The election, pre-the new FBI stuff, was already exceptionally close. But this is total disaster for the HillBillies! You have some Democrats that now refuse to vote for Hillary, so they'll either switch to Trump or not vote at all. Either way, very bad. Also, now, obviously, the timing is critical, as there just isn't enough time to spin this new information by the HB camp. And Wikileaks is saying they have another shoe ready to drop. At the same time, the Obamacare disaster has just gotten a ton of negative press. My only question is, how accurate ARE the polls? Because even some fairly liberal-slanting ones are showing a tremendous sudden drop in HB supporters. However, that said, last election, so many polls got it wrong. Nowadays, without being able to poll mostly people with landlines, there is considerable uncertainty as to the demographics of those being polled.

One thing is certain, much of the media is clueless as to why people outside of the big cities and in the heartland think and vote so much more conservatively. They've mostly got this idea that they are simpleton bumpkins who "cling to God and guns."

[Kurieuo]

Trump has hit a high in polls according to: http://cesrusc.org/election/

[RickD]

I predict that the very near future will show Ted Cruz hitting a high in the polls, just before he becomes POTUS.

In case you forgot, God told Ted's father that Ted would be the next POTUS.

[Kurieuo]

Both start with a 'T', maybe he only heard the first letter properly?

[RickD]

Both start with a 'T', maybe he only heard the first letter properly?

Both start with a "T"?

Ted and Tonald?



Ted's father's name starts with an "F".

[Kurieuo]

Both start with a 'T', maybe he only heard the first letter properly?

Both start with a "T"?

Ted and Tonald?



Ted's father's name starts with an "F".

Who calls him by Donald?

• Ted: turn over and spread out (grass, hay, or straw) to dry or for bedding.

Isn't that what Trump is going to do with the establishment. Turn it over, drain the swamp.

Can't win Rick. Ted's dad was correct. You just didn't look hard enough, take his words in context for they were clearly symbolic.

[RickD]

Both start with a 'T', maybe he only heard the first letter properly?

Both start with a "T"?

Ted and Tonald?



Ted's father's name starts with an "F".

Who calls him by Donald?

• Ted: turn over and spread out (grass, hay, or straw) to dry or for bedding.

Isn't that what Trump is going to do with the establishment. Turn it over, drain the swamp.

Can't win Rick. Ted's dad was correct. You just didn't look hard enough, take his words in context for they were clearly symbolic.

THOU SHALT NOT TOUCH GOD'S ANOINTED!!!
Here's a Benny Hinn curse for you:
http://youtu.be/7wAQ5ftiEqE

[crochet1949]

Other than the Fact that this whole election 'thing' is getting Totally ridiculous --I'll be SO glad when the Final decision has been made. (I Think) I, at least, wasn't 'ready' for the 1st black Pres. and I'm also not ready for a potential 1st Madam Pres. However, we Are to have / show respect For the Position OF President. No matter Who / Whom is in that office.