Gman wrote:There seems to be some debate on who killed Pierre Gemayel. The Syrians or Hezbollah... I guess it doesn't matter since they are practically the same.. I'm wondering if this could spark a civil war or something.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15829846/
John, could you fill us in again? Thanks..
Terrible news indeed. It seems that the Lebanese Christians are destined to defend their country with their blood. I spoke to my family this morning and the mood is bleak at best. Anxiety and fear are gripping the country. Everyone does still believe that a civil war is out of the question (at least for now) given that the March 14th alliance (of which the assassinated minister was a member, and who also hold parliamentary majority) includes Moslems (Sunnis and Druse). But no one really knows what will happen next. There are foreign hands trying to once again make Lebanon the center of regional and international power struggles. The West, Europe, and Sunni Arabs (Saudi Arabia) on the one hand, and the Moslem extremism (Syria, Iran, and by extension Hezbollah and the Lebanese Shiites) on the other.
Two days before the cabinet was set to vote on the U.N. sponsored international court to try the assassins of former prime minister Rafik Hariri, Hezbollah ministers resigned from the cabinet in an effort to bring it down, thereby delaying the vote. They did so under the guise of wanting a national unity government (as opposed to the current one whose majority is from the Cedar revolution or the March 14th alliance). Hezbollah did not succeed in bringing the government down as, in order to do so, a 3rd is required to resign and Hezbollah didn't have enough ministers.
The cabinet approved the U.N. court without the Hezbollah ministers. Yesterday, a Christian minister was assassinated. Their aim (and we all know who they are) is 1) To intimidate the majority into agreeing to give Hezbollah more power (through the national unity government), 2) To bring the government down by killing enough of them to reach the 3rd resigned or dead, and 3) By scoring points against the West, particularly the U.S. who threw its support behind the current government.
The hands of Syria and Iran are all over this. The classic struggle of the regional powers with the Lebanese people caught in the middle.
John.